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Moolah
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Joined: Sun Jul 9th, 2006
Location: Moo Moo Land
Posts: 12897
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 Posting #13: Wed Feb 21st, 2007 08:27

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here's the track record..

      Sales    Earnings
2001  108.202  27.760
2002  114.117  26.799
2003  115.772  25.614
2004  133.935  28.962
2005  119.733  27.707
2006  132.716  23.886


Here's the delima.. earnings not so hip but the stock still pays decent dividends.

khat
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 Posting #14: Mon Feb 26th, 2007 03:01

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so if one is hoping to beat the 4% fd rate, he has no problem in this counter.

A good to park excess cash instead of fd?

Very consistent in giving div, don't disappoint but already not that great compare to earlier years.

Moolah
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 Posting #15: Mon Feb 26th, 2007 03:56

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khat wrote: so if one is hoping to beat the 4% fd rate, he has no problem in this counter.

A good to park excess cash instead of fd?

Very consistent in giving div, don't disappoint but already not that great compare to earlier years.


Historical track record of giving consistent dividends is one issue.. but in cases where the company earnings decline, then the prudent investor simply should NOT discount this issue.

For without the strong consistent earnings, then the investor would logically ask 'how long could the strong consistent dividend payout sustain'?

 

hhc1977
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 Posting #16: Mon Feb 26th, 2007 06:42

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for div play, i think there are some other stocks which do pay decent money out year in and year out.

The price is pretty "boring" and mostly tightly controlled.

Nm got a point that when the industry is no more rosy, why park yr money there?

But, since we r a growing country (economy), we will definitely need more houses (properties) along the way. SO, tile makers will definitely have their market. Just that dont expect growth rate of mid teens.

And with the property market starting to heat up, who knows what yilai will report in 6 months down the road. INvesting is really on its future, not on past performance...

Moolah
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 Posting #17: Mon Feb 26th, 2007 06:53

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Well said.

In all honesty, if you ask me, i do believe that perhaps there could be potential in yilai, especially given its geographic location. However, as everyone knows, everything is currently in so-called planning stages now in that region.

And here is where it gets tricky. Currently, everything looks rather gloomy. It is simply not out of the woods yet... but... the tricky thing as mentioned is that investing is all bout the ability of the company to deliver future earnings.

Will this so-called potential turn real?
Is tile makers the best bet in this investment based on theme?
How will it benefit YiLai?
And would Yilai be able to turn potential into profits?
And would current prices be a good bet for Yilai?

How?

hhc1977
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 Posting #18: Mon Feb 26th, 2007 10:35

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nm,

yes, it's all about future earning.

I am happy if i can make 80% of profit over in a major trend. So, i will let's those daredevil to be the pioneer in holding yilai. I will wait until i see some signs that things are getting better.

Remember ,the darkest hour is always before sunrise....


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